原油价格反弹之际 交易商仍持谨慎态度

据9月20日FX Empire报道，如果布伦特原油价格持续保持在每桶42.50美元以上，看涨人士很有可能将价格推高至每桶45美元。布伦特原油上周反弹8.3%，在最近的交易时段收于每桶43.15美元。

能源专家预测，虽然当前全球大部分经济体仍在以较低的产能运转，但随着主要经济体开始公布令人印象深刻的经济数据，加上最近研制出的疫苗，布伦特原油价格可能会收于每桶49美元左右，这缓解了石油交易商对全球汽油需求脆弱的神经。

值得注意的是，布伦特原油价格在过去一周回升至每桶43美元，此前曾跌至每桶39美元，原因是最近公布的经济数据显示，全球最大的经济体库存有所下降。

当前，布伦特原油价格能否突破每桶45美元十分关键。如果看涨者在未来几天将布伦特原油价格持续保持在每桶42.50美元上方，那么很可能将把价格推入每桶45美元的阻力位，这是油价突破近期高位的一个非常重要的关键考验点。

然而，如果来自非洲最大的原油储备的额外供应开始发挥作用，看涨人士肯定会有很多考虑，因为最近有报道显示，该国计划向能源市场注入更多石油，而能源市场受到新冠肺炎疫情的破坏已经非常脆弱，再加上低波动率的显著存在，短期内可能难以突破每桶45.50美元，因交易商仍对原油供需再平衡异常担忧。

王佳晶 摘译自 FX Empire

原文如下：

Oil Traders Remain Wary Amid Crude Oil Prices Bouncing Up

If the bulls keep the price of Brent crude above $42.50/barrel continually, it most likely the bulls will push the price within the $45/barrel.

Crude oil prices rallied higher w/w, as the new oil sheriff in town warned over producers and energy speculators, has he specifically targeted short-sellers betting on a drop in crude oil prices.

Brent crude rebounded 8.3% last week, to settle at $43.15 a barrel at its most recent trading session.

Leading energy experts are now anticipating, Brent crude prices could finish around $49/barrel, as major economics start printing impressive economic data, coupled with the recent development of the Covid-19 vaccine, soothing the nerves of oil traders on the fragile demand of gasoline globally, as the major parts of the global economy is still operating at reduced capacity.

It should be noted that over the past week, Brent Crude prices recovered to trade at $43/barrel, after hitting as low as $39/barrel, as recent economic data printed the largest economy stockpiles dropping arbitrarily.

Taking a closer look at Brent crude price pattern, a vital breakout from the wedge pattern is currently seen around the $45/barrel price level.

If the bulls in the coming days keep the price of Brent crude above $42.50/barrel continually, it most likely the bulls will push the price within the $45/barrel resistance level a very important technical test in breaking out from its recent highs.

However, the bulls would definitely have a lot to chew if additional supplies coming from Africa’s largest crude oil reserves comes to play, as recent reports reveal its leader plans to pump more oil into an energy market that has become fragile, disrupted by the ravaging COVID-19 virus, coupled with a significant prevalence of low volatility would probably make it challenging for the bulls to breach above $45.50/barrel price level in the near term as traders remained highly worried about crude oil demand/supply rebalancing.