全球对船用燃料的需求将下降17%

据海事新闻9月16日消息称，一位行业高管在周三的一次会议上表示，由于新冠病毒大流行对全球贸易的影响，全球对船用燃料的需求预计将下降多达17％，这为船用燃料供应商之间的进一步整合提供了条件。

国际燃油工业协会（IBIA）负责人Unni Einemo表示，企业面临着需求低、利润率低、供应过剩、对手风险增加和融资渠道受限的困境。

Einemo在会议上说：“因此，我们可能期望通过并购或关停企业来进一步整合。”他补充说，一些公司可能被迫退出市场。

Einemo表示:“尽管(4月和5月)全球燃油需求保持良好，但预计2020年全球燃油需求将大幅下降。”

她说，IBIA的成员预计2020年全球船用燃料需求将下降7%-17%。

据估计，全球海洋航运燃料需求约为每年3亿吨，即约520万桶/天。

国际能源署在周二发布的最新报告中称，“到2020年，包括船用燃料油、发电和工业用途在内的燃料油需求预计仅会减少40万桶/天，降幅6.3%。”

相比之下，据国际能源署预测，到2020年，包括航空燃油、柴油和汽油在内的优质运输燃料的需求将减少约740万桶/天，降幅约11.6%。

曹海斌 摘译自 海事新闻

原文如下：

Global Demand for Marine Fuels to Fall by Up To 17%

Global demand for marine fuels is expected to fall by up to 17% due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on world trade, setting the stage for more consolidation among bunker suppliers, an industry executive told a conference on Wednesday.

Unni Einemo, director of the International Bunker Industry Association (IBIA), said firms were contending with low demand, low margins, ample supplies, increased counter-party risk, and constrained access to capital.

"Because of that we might expect further consolidation through mergers and acquisitions or attrition," Einemo told the conference, adding that some firms could be forced to quit the market.

"Global bunker demand is expected to decrease significantly in 2020, even if it had held up quite well (in April and May)," Einemo said.

IBIA's members forecast a 7%-17% drop in bunker fuel demand globally in 2020, she said.

Global marine fuel demand is estimated at about 300 million tonnes per annum, or about 5.2 million barrels per day (mbpd).

In its latest report released on Tuesday, the International Energy Agency said "fuel oil demand, which includes marine bunker as well as power generation and industrial uses, is forecast to decline by only 0.4 mbpd, or 6.3% in 2020," the IEA said in its monthly report on Tuesday.

By comparison, premium transport fuels which include jet fuel, diesel and gasoline, are forecast to have lost about 7.4 mbpd, or 11.6%, of demand in 2020, according to the IEA.