EIA：2020年美国原油产量跌幅将低于此前预期

据路透社9月10日纽约报道，美国政府周三表示，预计今年美国原油产量将下降87万桶/日，至1138桶/日，跌幅低于此前预测的99桶/日。

为了应对冠状病毒大流行以及燃料需求急剧下降，包括美国在内的世界各国纷纷减少了石油产量。美国的产量从1200万桶/日降至约1050万桶/日。这使美国一度跌至每桶负40美元的油价，最近几周又回升至近45美元。

产量迅速回升可能会造成另一种供应过剩。近期，由于对供应过剩的担忧，石油期货跌至近三个月低点。沙特阿拉伯国家石油公司(Aramco)下调了10月份阿拉伯轻质油的官方售价，显示出需求走软的迹象。

预计今年美国石油需求将下降212万桶/日，至1842万桶/日，上月预测为200万桶/日。

汽油需求今年预计下降104万桶/日，至平均827万桶/日，此前预计下降9.1万桶/日。

预计今年馏分燃料(包括柴油和航空燃料)需求将减少34万桶/日，至376万桶/日，略低于此前预测的36万桶/日。

报告称，预计2021年产量将下降30万桶/日，至1108万桶/日。此前，机构预计明年仅下降12万桶/日。

沈韩晔 摘译自 路透社

原文如下：

US 2020 crude output to fall less than previously expected: EIA

US crude oil production is expected to fall 870,000 barrels per day to 11.38 million bpd this year, a less steep decline than the 990,000 bpd previously forecast, the US government said on Wednesday.

Nations worldwide, including the United States, have throttled back oil output in response to the coronavirus pandemic, and as fuel demand has dropped sharply. US production dropped from 12 million bpd to roughly 10.5 million bpd. That helped US prices, which briefly fell to minus-$40 a barrel, recover to nearly $45 in recent weeks.

A swifter rebound in output could create another supply glut. Lately, oil futures have slipped to near three-month lows due to oversupply fears. Saudi Arabia's state oil company Aramco cut the October official selling prices for its Arab light oil, a sign of softening demand.

US petroleum demand is expected to fall 2.12 million bpd this year to 18.42 million bpd, versus 2 million bpd forecast last month.

Gasoline demand is expected to fall 1.04 million bpd this year to an average of 8.27 million bpd, compared with a decline of 91,000 bpd previously expected.

Demand for distillate fuels, including diesel and jet fuel, is expected to fall 340,000 bpd to 3.76 million bpd this year, slightly less than the 360,000-bpd decline forecast previously.

Output is expected to drop 300,000 bpd to 11.08 million bpd in 2021, the report said. Previously, the agency expected a decline of just 120,000 bpd next year.