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IEA:石油市场没有大幅放缓但复苏停滞

作者: 2020年09月10日 来源:中国石化新闻网 浏览量:
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据路透社9月7日报道,国际能源署(IEA)一名官员表示,全球经济可能不会因疫情而再出现任何重大的放缓情况,但积压的库存和石油需求的不确定性给石油市场的复苏蒙上了阴影。

据路透社9月7日报道,国际能源署(IEA)一名官员表示,全球经济可能不会因疫情而再出现任何重大的放缓情况,但积压的库存和石油需求的不确定性给石油市场的复苏蒙上了阴影。

IEA能源市场和安全主管Keisuke Sadamori表示,石油市场前景不确定性很大,但预计未来几个月不会出现进一步的严重放缓情况。尽管市场预计不会很快恢复真正强劲的增长,但需求较三个月前更为稳定。

原油价格LCOc1 CLc1在春季爆跌至历史低点,因疫情的封锁打压了需求,虽然目前降幅有所缩减,但仍停留在每桶40美元附近。

IEA在8月13日的月度报告中下调了对2020年石油需求的预期,并警告称航空出行减少将导致全球石油日需求减少810万桶。

总部位于巴黎的国际货币基金组织三个月来首次下调了其前景展望,因为疫情继续在全球范围内打击经济和带来失业。

随着布伦特原油价格周五录得6月以来首次周跌幅,市场对需求、疲弱的炼油利润率和经济增长放缓越来越紧张,减少了从充足库存中提取原油和产品的动力。

Sadamori表示:“似乎还没有出现大规模的股票抛售。我们没有看到炼油活动出现强劲回升,且航空燃油是一个大问题。”

路透社

IEA sees oil market stuck between no major slowdown but stalled recovery

The global economy is likely not headed for any major slowdown due to COVID-19 but piled-up storage and uncertainty over oil demand cloud oil markets’ recovery, an official with International Energy Agency (IEA) said.

Keisuke Sadamori, IEA director for energy markets and security, told Reuters the outlook for oil was in the midst of either a second wave or a steady first wave of the coronavirus.

“There is an enormous amount of uncertainty, but we don’t expect any additional serious slowdown in the coming months.”

“Even though (the market is) not expecting real robust growth coming back soon, the view on demand is more stable compared with three months ago,” he said in an interview.

Crude prices LCOc1 CLc1 plunged in spring to historic lows as the pandemic’s lockdowns crushed demand, and have pared losses but remained stuck near $40 a barrel.

The IEA cut its 2020 oil demand forecast in its monthly report on Aug. 13, warning that reduced air travel would lower global oil demand by 8.1 million barrels per day (bpd).

The Paris-based agency downgraded its outlook for the first time in three months, as the epidemic continues to wreak economic pain and job losses worldwide.

With Brent crude registering its first weekly loss since June on Friday, markets have grown increasingly nervous over demand, poor refining margins and slow economic growth, reducing incentives to draw crude and products from abundant stocks.

“It doesn’t seem like a massive stock draw seems to be happening yet,” Sadamori said.

“We are not seeing a robust pickup in refining activity, and jet fuel is the big problem,” he added.

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标签:石油市场

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