惠誉：未来4年布伦特原油价格将上涨14美元

据美国钻井网站2020年9月3日报道，根据惠誉集团旗下的惠誉解决方案国家风险和行业研究公司（Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research）的最新油价报告，布伦特原油均价从2020年到2024年每桶将上涨14美元。

惠誉集团预计，布伦特原油今年的平均价格为每桶44美元，2021年为每桶51美元，2022年为每桶53美元，2023年为每桶55美元以及2024年为每桶58美元。

彭博共识(Bloomberg Consensus)预测，今年布伦特原油均价将在每桶42.4美元，2021年每桶50美元，2022年每桶53美元，2023年每桶55美元以及2024年每桶60.4美元。

惠誉集团分析师在周三送交美国钻井网站的报告中称，“我们仍认为市场将继续在今年下半年的水平上再平衡，直至2021年，这将推动全球库存持续减少，并推动原油价格进一步上涨。"

分析师在报告中补充道，“不过，再平衡的步伐将放缓，原因是需求方面复苏更为缓慢，关停井的重新生产以及欧佩克+协议在供应方面的解除。”

李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站

原文如下：

Brent Oil Price to Grow by $14

The average price of Brent crude oil will increase by $14 per barrel from 2020 to 2024, according to Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research’s latest oil price report.

Fitch Solutions expects Brent to average $44 per barrel this year, before growing to average $51 per barrel in 2021, $53 per barrel in 2022, $55 per barrel in 2023 and $58 per barrel in 2024.

The Bloomberg Consensus forecasts that Brent will average $42.4 per barrel in 2020, $50 per barrel in 2021, $53 per barrel in 2022, $55 per barrel in 2023 and $60.4 per barrel in 2024.

“Our view remains that the market will continue to rebalance over H220 and into 2021, driving a continued drawdown of global inventories and further gains in prices,” Fitch Solutions analysts stated in the report, which was sent to Rigzone on Wednesday.

“However, the pace of the rebalancing will slow, reflecting a more gradual recovery on the demand side, and a return of shut-in wells and the unwinding of the OPEC+ deal on the supply side,” the analysts added in the report.