全球经济数据改善 油价上涨3％

据CNBC网站6月29日：在亚洲和欧洲看涨数据后，周一石油价每桶上涨约1美元。

布伦特原油价格上涨74美分，至41.76美元/桶，涨幅1.8%。美国原油价格上涨1.21美元，至39.70美元/桶，涨幅3.1%。

欧盟委员会周一公布的数据显示，6月欧元区经济复苏信心加剧，各领域均有所改善。整体信心指数从5月的67.5点升至6月的75.7点，不过仍低于预期。

但人们对第二波疫情的担忧使油价无法持续上涨。美国的一些州重新实施了封锁限制。

JBC能源公司表示：“尽管这些地方性措施本身不太可能对需求产生重大的直接影响，但它们确实突显出汽油需求面临的重大风险。”

在欧佩克+将其每日970万桶的减产协议延长至7月之后，布伦特原油价格将连续第三个月上涨。

Rystad Energy石油市场分析师路易斯·迪克森表示：" 欧佩克+减产一直在帮助维持油价，在5月接近90%的稳定水平之后，未来几天我们将获得6月稳定数据。"

据石油跟踪公司Petro-Logistics估计，欧佩克6月石油日产量较5月减少125万桶。

冯娟 摘译自 CNBC

原文如下：

Oil rises 3% on improving economic data

Oil prices rose about $1 a barrel on Monday, after bullish data from Asia and Europe, but investors are wary about sharp spikes in new coronavirus infections around the world.

Brent crude rose 74 cents, or 1.8%, to $41.76 a barrel. U.S. crude gained $1.21, or 3.1%, to $39.70 a barrel.

The recovery of economic sentiment in the euro zone intensified in June with improvements across all sectors, European Commission data showed on Monday. Overall sentiment rose to 75.7 points in June from 67.5 in May, though still short of expectations.

In China, profits at industrial firms rose for the first time in six months in May, suggesting the country’s economic recovery is gaining traction.

But fears of a second wave of the pandemic are keeping prices from going higher. The death toll from COVID-19 surpassed half a million people on Sunday, according to a Reuters tally.

Some states in the United States have reimposed restrictions after jumps in cases. California ordered bars to close on Sunday following similar moves in Texas and Florida. Washington state and the city of San Francisco have paused their reopening plans.

“Whilst these localised measures on their own are unlikely to see any major immediate impact on demand, they do highlight the significant risk to gasoline demand,” JBC Energy said.

Brent is set to end June with a third consecutive monthly gain after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, known as OPEC+, extended its 9.7 million barrels-per-day (bpd) supply cut agreement into July.

“OPEC+ supply cuts have been helping keep the oil price afloat, and after the stellar nearly 90% compliance in May, in the next few days we will be getting data clues on June compliance,” said Louise Dickson, Rystad Energy’s oil markets analyst.

OPEC has cut oil output in June by 1.25 million bpd from May levels, according to estimates from tanker-tracking company Petro-Logistics.