雷斯塔能源：今年全球天然气产量将下降2.6%

据6月25日Oil Monster消息：咨询公司Rystad Energy周二表示，今年全球天然气产量将下降2.6％，而此前预估会有所增长。

Rystad Energy曾预计，2020年天然气总产量将从去年的4069亿立方米增至4.233亿立方米。

而根据最新预测，今年产量将为3962亿立方米，2021年增至4015亿立方米，2022年增至4094亿立方米。

按百分比计算，受影响最大的是来自油田的伴生天然气，最初预计该产量与2019年5.47亿立方米的水平基本持平。

现在预计2020年将下降5.5％，至517亿立方米，2021年升至530亿立方米，2022年升至542亿立方米。

Rystad Energy提供有关全球能源市场的数据和分析。其天然气和电力市场主管卡洛斯·托雷斯-迪亚兹表示：“部分复苏将受到未来油价乐观情绪的推动，到2025年，相关气田产量可能逐渐提高到近6亿立方米。”

“但未来油价如何变化，将决定天然气总产量。”他补充道。

Rystad Energy预测，2025年布伦特原油价格将稳定在60美元/桶左右，目前为43美元/桶左右。

冯娟 摘译自 Oil Monster

原文如下：

Global Natural Gas Production to Fall by 2.6% This Year

Global natural gas output is set to fall by 2.6% this year because of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, after previously being expected to grow, consultancy Rystad Energy said on Tuesday.

Rystad Energy had expected total natural gas production to rise to 4,233 billion cubic meters (bcm) in 2020 from 4,069 bcm last year.

Now it expects production to be 3,962 bcm for this year, rising to 4,015 bcm in 2021 and to 4,094 bcm in 2022.

The most affected output in percentage terms is associated gas from oilfields - a form of natural gas found in deposits of petroleum - which was initially forecast to stay largely flat year-on-year from a 2019 level of 547 bcm.

It is now expected to fall by 5.5% to 517 bcm in 2020, before rising to 530 bcm in 2021 and 542 bcm in 2022.

Rystad Energy provides data and analysis on the global energy markets.

"Part of the recovery will be driven by optimism in future oil prices, which could gradually drive output from associated gas fields to near 600 bcm by 2025," Rystad Energy's Head of Gas and Power Markets Carlos Torres-Diaz said.

"But how future oil prices really evolve will actually define the total natural gas output," he added.

Rystad Energy forecasts that Brent crude oil prices will stabilise at around $60 per barrel in 2025, compared to around $43 a barrel currently.