今年下半年全球石油日需求将下降640万桶

据今日油价网站6月17日消息 欧佩克周三在月度石油市场报告（MOMR）中表示，今年下半年，全球石油需求将从第二季度的崩溃中开始复苏，但由于对燃料的需求将继续受到疫情和遏制措施的制约，下半年的石油需求仍将比去年同期水平下降640万桶/天。

根据欧佩克的数据，今年下半年全球石油需求的损失将放缓至640万桶/天，而上半年预计将下降1190万桶/天。

欧佩克将2020年全年全球石油需求预测保持不变，为下降910万桶/天。

欧佩克表示，尽管封锁措施持续放松，但预计今年下半年交通燃料仍将承压。预计航空燃料将继续面临挑战，因为预计国内和国际航班只会缓慢复苏，而远程工作/电话会议限制商务旅行。

此外，欧佩克表示，由于美国失业率居高不下、通勤减少，汽油消费也将受到影响，而全球制造业的疲软将对工业燃料造成影响。

欧佩克目前预计，今年原油需求为2360万桶/天，较上月的预估下调70万桶/天。与2019年相比，今年对欧佩克原油的需求预计将下降580万桶/天。

据欧佩克二级消息来源显示，欧佩克5月份原油产量高于该组织对原油需求的预期，为2419万桶/天，欧佩克原油产量较4月份下降630万桶/天。

沙特阿拉伯5月份削减了产量，达到规定的850万桶/天的配额，其主要海湾合作伙伴科威特和阿联酋也削减了产量，而伊拉克虽然削减了34万桶/天，达到416.5万桶/天，但仍远未达标。

王磊 摘译自 今日油价

原文如下：

OPEC: Global Oil Demand To Drop By 6.4 Million Bpd In Second Half 2020

Global oil demand will start to recover in the second half of the year from the crash in the second quarter, but it will still be down by 6.4 million bpd in H2 from year-ago levels as demand for fuels will continue to be constrained by the coronavirus pandemic and the measures to contain it, OPEC said in its Monthly Oil Market Report (MOMR) on Wednesday.

According to the cartel, the loss in global oil demand will slow to 6.4 million bpd in the second half of the year, compared to an estimated decline of 11.9 million bpd in the first half of the year.

OPEC left its full-year 2020 global oil demand projection unchanged at a decline of 9.1 million bpd.

“Transportation fuels are forecast to remain under pressure in 2H20, despite ongoing easing in lockdown measures. Aviation fuel is expected to continue facing challenges, as national and international flights are anticipated to only slowly recover, while teleworking/teleconferencing restricting business travel,” OPEC said.

In addition, gasoline consumption will also suffer because of the high unemployment rate in the United States and reduced commuting, while industrial fuels will be impacted by weaker manufacturing around the world, the cartel said.

OPEC now sees demand for its crude at 23.6 million bpd this year, revised down by 700,000 bpd from the previous month’s estimates. This year’s demand for OPEC crude is expected to be down by 5.8 million bpd compared to 2019.

OPEC’s crude oil production in May was higher than the cartel’s expectations for demand for its crude—at 24.19 million bpd, OPEC’s crude oil production dropped by 6.3 million bpd from April, as per OPEC’s secondary sources.

Saudi Arabia slashed in May its production to the required 8.5 million bpd quota, and so did its key Gulf partners Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), while Iraq, while cutting production by 340,000 bpd to 4.165 million bpd, was still way off the mark.