2020年油气行业将面临1.8万亿美元的损失

惠誉国际评级(Fitch Ratings)在一份新报告中称，疫情影响导致的油价暴跌将使全球油气勘探和生产企业今年收入减少多达1.8万亿美元，以美元收入计算，这是受冲击最严重的行业。

“石油和天然气开采昂贵的费用(就收入、运营成本和资本支出而言)意味着该行业主导着我们的收入损失预测，2020年全球收入损失将达到1.8万亿美元。”这比零售业所受影响的损失大6倍。

惠誉表示，在全球范围内，疫情将使惠誉追踪的所有行业损失高达5万亿美元的收入。

惠誉评级称:“以美元计算，石油和天然气行业的收入损失最大，占总收入降幅的40%。”

该机构补充称:“尽管油价已从历史低点反弹，但价格仍远低于我们的预期。我们预计，在封锁后最初的乐观情绪消散后，经济人气仍将保持低迷。”

石油和天然气勘探和生产(勘探)世界各地的公司都将看到他们的年度总收入下降了1万亿美元。

根据雷斯塔的数据，2020年勘探开发收入将下降约1万亿美元，降幅达40%，仅为1.47万亿美元，而去年的总收入为2.47万亿美元。

在疫情来袭之前，雷斯塔预测今年的勘探开发收入为2.35万亿美元，2021年为2.52万亿美元。

詹晓晶 编译自 今日油价网站

The Oil And Gas Industry Faces A $1.8 Trillion Loss In 2020

The coronavirus pandemic and the resulting oil price crash are set to wipe out as much as US$1.8 trillion from the revenues of oil and gas exploration and production companies this year-the worst-hit sector in terms of dollar revenue, Fitch Ratings said in a new report.

“The critical and expensive nature of oil and gas extraction (in terms of revenue, opex and capex) means that this sector dominates our lost-revenue projections, accounting for USD1.8 trillion of lost revenue globally in 2020. This is six times greater than the impact on the more visibly affected retail sector,” Fitch Ratings noted.

Globally, the COVID-19 pandemic is set to destroy as much as US$5 trillion in revenue for corporates which Fitch tracks in all sectors, the rating agency said.

“The oil and gas sector accounts for the most revenue destruction in dollar terms, representing 40 percent of the aggregate revenue fall,” according to Fitch Ratings.

“While the oil price has recovered from historic lows, pricing is still well inside our price-deck estimates and we expect economic sentiment to remain subdued after the initial post-lockdown euphoria dissipates,’’ the agency added.

Oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) companies around the world are set to see their total annual revenues plunge by a whopping US$1 trillion this year, due to the coronavirus pandemic and its effect on global oil demand and prices, Rystad Energy said in an analysis at the end of April.

E&P revenues are set to plummet by around US$1 trillion in 2020, a drop of 40 percent, and stand at just to US$1.47 trillion this year, compared to last year’s combined annual revenues of US$2.47 trillion, according to the independent energy research firm.

Before the pandemic, Rystad Energy was forecasting annual E&P revenues at US$2.35 trillion this year and US$2.52 trillion in 2021.