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加拿大石油储备空间接近极限

作者: 2020年03月26日 来源:中国石化新闻网 浏览量:
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据今日油价2月23日报道,当前,全球石油供应过剩, 加拿大西部的石油生产将需要从4月份开始削减约11%,即44万桶/天, Rystad Energy估计,该国石油储备空间即将耗尽。

据今日油价2月23日报道,当前,全球石油供应过剩, 加拿大西部的石油生产将需要从4月份开始削减约11%,即44万桶/天, Rystad Energy估计,该国石油储备空间即将耗尽。

加拿大西部储油基础设施的最大储油能力普遍为大约4000万桶。据计算,目前已有超过3000万桶原油和稀释沥青库存,按照目前的产量计算,到3月底,这些库存可能会接近最高存储量。

Rystad Energy预计,加拿大西部的石油产量,将达到约400万桶/天,如今将不得不削减总44万桶,以平衡当地约3500万桶的储存量。这意味着铁路出口的原油将至少减少75%,至10万桶/天。

去年第二季,加拿大西部石油日产量约为394万桶。3月11日,阿尔伯塔省省长杰森·肯尼提出了减产的可能性,但省政府尚未正式宣布减产。

到目前为止,大多数运营商在近期减产的问题上还不是很明确,不过一些主要运营商已经下调了全年产量预期。

洪伟立 摘译自 今日油价

原文如下:

Canada Braces For Oil Cuts As Storage Nears Limit

The ongoing oil price war have created such a large global supply surplus that Western Canada’s oil production will need to be cut from April by some 11%, or 440,000 barrels per day (bpd), Rystad Energy estimates, as the country is days away from running out of available storage capacity.

Western Canada’s storage infrastructure has a generally accepted maximum storage capacity of approximately 40 million barrels. Based on our calculations, more than 30 million barrels of crude oil and diluted bitumen is already held in storage, and the volume is likely to edge towards the high end of capacity by the end of March under current production assumptions.

As a result, Western Canada’s oil production, which Rystad Energy expected to reach some 4 million bpd in its pre-coronavirus estimate, will now probably have to be cut by a total of 440,000 barrels to balance local storage volumes around 35 million barrels. This incorporates at least a 75% reduction in crude-by-rail exports to 100,000 bpd.

In the second quarter last year, Western Canada’s oil production amounted to about 3.94 million bpd.

On 11 March, Alberta Premier Jason Kenney raised the possibility of production curtailments, but reductions have not yet been officially announced by the provincial government.

So far, most operators have not been very vocal on the issue of near-term cuts, although some of the major players have revised their full-year production guidance downwards.


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标签:加拿大 石油储备

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