渣打银行下调今年布伦特原油均价预测

据美国钻井网站2020年3月9日伦敦报道，英国渣打银行周一在伦敦透露，渣打银行已把今年布伦特原油的平均价格预测下调了29美元，至35美元/桶。

渣打银行认为，欧佩克+减产协议谈判的破裂将导致一场“严重而持久的价格战”。渣打银行同时把今年第二季度布伦特原油平均价格预测下调了38美元，至每桶23美元，并将2021年布伦特原油平均价格的预测下调了23美元，至每桶44美元。

渣打银行表示，该行预计沙特阿拉伯4月份原油日产量将接近1100万桶，到第二季度末将增至1180万桶。

渣打银行周一在发给Rigzone的研究报告中表示：“随着供应增加，石油价格的短期底部非常脆弱。”

李峻 编译自 美国钻井网站

原文如下：

Standard Chartered Cuts Oil Price Forecast by $29|

Standard Chartered revealed Monday that it has lowered its 2020 average Brent oil price forecast by $29 per barrel to $35 per barrel.

The company, which believes the collapse of the OPEC+ agreement will lead to a “severe and extended price war”, lowered its second quarter Brent forecast by $38 per barrel to $23 per barrel and its 2021 forecast by $23 per barrel to $44 per barrel.

Standard Chartered said it expects Saudi Arabia to increase its crude oil output to close to 11 million barrels per day (MMbpd) in April and to 11.8 MMbpd by the end of 2Q.

“With supply ramping up at the same time as coronavirus-related demand losses reach their maximum, the short-term floor to oil prices is extremely weak,” Standard Chartered said in a research note sent to Rigzone on Monday.